星期三, 5月 26, 2004
西武首位獨走分析
這是在sportnavi小野俊哉的評論文章，小弟僅作轉譯和部分評論。
由於小弟日文程度有限，因此僅作大意闡述，若有錯誤請指教。
在5/24日這個時點，西武在太平洋聯盟首位獨走，
是兩個聯盟唯一儲金達兩位數的球隊。
今年在經歷長期作為球隊重心的小松井轉戰大聯盟，
和守備重心的伊東退休成為監督，
西武今年的課題便是加快世代交替速度。
對年輕選手的育成啟用，以他們作為球隊重心，
開幕過後西武嚐到多年未有的最下位經驗。
但是到了4/11爬到首位，在五月只有一次沒有單獨領先，
與眾球評預測不同的活躍表現，原因在哪？
小野從記錄來看，認為有以下幾項原因：
一、25歲以下野手陣的活躍。
比較今年太平洋聯盟25歲以下選手的打擊成績，
西武在安打、全壘打、打點、得分和盜壘幾項是聯盟之冠；
尤其在打點跟全壘打兩項：打點97分是第二名大榮32的三倍，
全壘打26支也是太平洋聯盟唯一達到兩位數的。
如此活躍的打擊表現，很明顯是西武首位獨走的因素之一。
其中接替獅王位置的中島，44分打點是聯盟之冠；
而捕手細川、外野手赤田和大島，更是明顯活躍。
特別是中島跟赤田，都還只是在一軍出賽數不滿50場，
所謂「一軍半」的選手。
二、年輕投手的活躍
西武25歲以下的投手投球局數，佔西武總投球局數的60％；
而球隊29勝當中，他們就拿下了20勝。
在先發輪值中，達到規定局數的松阪、張、、大沼和帆足都是在25歲以下；
而新人山崎也逐漸抬頭當中，原本輪值的中心西口跟石井貴登板機會愈見減少。
去年大榮優勝，年輕的投手陣是最大因素；尤其是和田、新垣、杉內和寺原的活躍。
在大榮去年的總投球局數當中，25歲以下的佔了47％，30歲以下更是佔了91％；
此種有厲害的年輕投手就能稱霸太平洋聯盟的現象，近年一再發生。
而今年戰績低迷的兩隊：歐力士跟羅德，去年25歲以下投手的投球局數，
才各佔球隊總投球局數的11％和17％，今年的情形也未見改善。
特別是今年歐力士隊，對佔總投球局數50％以上的三十一歲投手的依賴，
比去年41％相比，球隊高齡化的趨勢更明顯。
太平洋聯盟各球隊主力選手的年齡，似乎成為區別各隊實力的指標。
西武世代交替過程和是否能繼續維持首位，值得大大的注意。
繼續閱讀
由於小弟日文程度有限，因此僅作大意闡述，若有錯誤請指教。
在5/24日這個時點，西武在太平洋聯盟首位獨走，
是兩個聯盟唯一儲金達兩位數的球隊。
今年在經歷長期作為球隊重心的小松井轉戰大聯盟，
和守備重心的伊東退休成為監督，
西武今年的課題便是加快世代交替速度。
對年輕選手的育成啟用，以他們作為球隊重心，
開幕過後西武嚐到多年未有的最下位經驗。
但是到了4/11爬到首位，在五月只有一次沒有單獨領先，
與眾球評預測不同的活躍表現，原因在哪？
小野從記錄來看，認為有以下幾項原因：
一、25歲以下野手陣的活躍。
比較今年太平洋聯盟25歲以下選手的打擊成績，
西武在安打、全壘打、打點、得分和盜壘幾項是聯盟之冠；
尤其在打點跟全壘打兩項：打點97分是第二名大榮32的三倍，
全壘打26支也是太平洋聯盟唯一達到兩位數的。
如此活躍的打擊表現，很明顯是西武首位獨走的因素之一。
其中接替獅王位置的中島，44分打點是聯盟之冠；
而捕手細川、外野手赤田和大島，更是明顯活躍。
特別是中島跟赤田，都還只是在一軍出賽數不滿50場，
所謂「一軍半」的選手。
二、年輕投手的活躍
西武25歲以下的投手投球局數，佔西武總投球局數的60％；
而球隊29勝當中，他們就拿下了20勝。
在先發輪值中，達到規定局數的松阪、張、、大沼和帆足都是在25歲以下；
而新人山崎也逐漸抬頭當中，原本輪值的中心西口跟石井貴登板機會愈見減少。
去年大榮優勝，年輕的投手陣是最大因素；尤其是和田、新垣、杉內和寺原的活躍。
在大榮去年的總投球局數當中，25歲以下的佔了47％，30歲以下更是佔了91％；
此種有厲害的年輕投手就能稱霸太平洋聯盟的現象，近年一再發生。
而今年戰績低迷的兩隊：歐力士跟羅德，去年25歲以下投手的投球局數，
才各佔球隊總投球局數的11％和17％，今年的情形也未見改善。
特別是今年歐力士隊，對佔總投球局數50％以上的三十一歲投手的依賴，
比去年41％相比，球隊高齡化的趨勢更明顯。
太平洋聯盟各球隊主力選手的年齡，似乎成為區別各隊實力的指標。
西武世代交替過程和是否能繼續維持首位，值得大大的注意。
評論：
內文所提到的年輕投手主宰聯盟勝敗的現象，是值得好好注意的。
然而小弟認為，目前西武戰績領先是氣勢的因素，有打順手球的味道；
現在要談論最後的勝利者，似乎還很早，還有奧運這個很大的變因。
低潮期和明星賽後，是觀察這些年輕選手是否熟成的關鍵；
畢竟中島和赤田今年還只是他們第一個完整球季，
能否持續現在的表現到最後，還是在未定之天。
標籤： NPB觀戰
繼續閱讀
星期四, 5月 20, 2004
紐約時報專欄作家對藍迪強森完全比賽的評論
Strike It Rich By MICHAEL COFFEY
Published: May 20, 2004
When Randy Johnson struck out Eddie Perez for the 27th and final out on Tuesday night in Atlanta, he became just the 15th pitcher in the modern era to pitch a perfect game. With the thousands upon thousands of games played since the era dawned in 1901, the perfecto is one of baseball's rarest, and certainly most celebrated, feats.
Most fans are aware that a perfect game is not simply a reflection of a pitcher's skill. Although Johnson joins some other great pitchers in reaching perfection — Sandy Koufax, Jim Bunning — he rubs shoulders with the likes of Charlie Robertson and Len Barker as well. If supreme pitching is not a necessary condition for perfection, what is? Aside from the "focus" almost universally cited in postgame remarks, there is little else in the way of situational factors to distinguish these games from your run-of-the-mill two-hit shutout.
But looking at the games along a timeline, you see something about their distribution that is hard to ignore. In the first 60 years of the 20th century, there only were four perfect games. In the past four-and-a-half decades, there have been 11. Why the increase?
Here's a theory. In 1904, when Cy Young pitched his gem, the term "perfect game" didn't exist. Young wasn't aware until the last out that no one had reached first base. The New York Times ran a two-sentence story. Young was making $4,500 a year, about three times a skilled laborer's salary.
By the time Bunning pitched his perfect game 40 years later, baseball was becoming a media business. Television had come on to the scene, prompting the Dodgers and Giants to move to the West Coast. Baseball underwent its first expansion, adding four teams to the original 16. After Bunning closed out his 6-0 win against the hapless Mets, he got $1,000 to appear on "The Ed Sullivan Show."
TV money not only inspired franchise movement and expansion, it also energized players to form a union to get a piece of the action through free agency, which was introduced in 1975. That year, the average salary was $44,000; today it is over $2.5 million. This year, Randy Johnson will make $16 million.
What does money have to do with perfection? With free agency, players are aware that their best efforts will be fairly rewarded. They work harder — and they have the financial incentive to do so. They also know that extraordinary accomplishments are wildly celebrated. Cooperstown calls for a piece of the gear used in the game. If this does not inspire the kind of mental focus a player needs to go the distance, I don't know what would. To make things easier, franchise expansion has brought many lesser talents to the major league level. Now with 30 teams, baseball offers 350 more roster spots than it did in 1960. Indeed, 5 of the 11 perfect games since expansion have come against expansion teams.
Money is not the reason Randy Johnson was untouchable the other night. But it might be the reason the rarest of baseball feats for six decades has now occurred four times in the last 10 years.
Michael Coffey is the author of "27 Men Out: Baseball's Perfect Games."
==
裡頭還有一些關於美國職棒大聯盟的歷史，
包括賽揚等傳奇人物。
作者特別要指出的是錢的因素，
使得60年才出現四次的完全比賽，
最近10年就已經出現四次。
如同萬事達卡的廣告，
Big Unit不是為了錢投出完全比賽，
但是他領了比前輩多上許多的薪水，
使得他的專注力更可以集中在球場上。
這篇文章算是對職業運動的發展作一個總結吧。
繼續閱讀
Published: May 20, 2004
When Randy Johnson struck out Eddie Perez for the 27th and final out on Tuesday night in Atlanta, he became just the 15th pitcher in the modern era to pitch a perfect game. With the thousands upon thousands of games played since the era dawned in 1901, the perfecto is one of baseball's rarest, and certainly most celebrated, feats.
Most fans are aware that a perfect game is not simply a reflection of a pitcher's skill. Although Johnson joins some other great pitchers in reaching perfection — Sandy Koufax, Jim Bunning — he rubs shoulders with the likes of Charlie Robertson and Len Barker as well. If supreme pitching is not a necessary condition for perfection, what is? Aside from the "focus" almost universally cited in postgame remarks, there is little else in the way of situational factors to distinguish these games from your run-of-the-mill two-hit shutout.
But looking at the games along a timeline, you see something about their distribution that is hard to ignore. In the first 60 years of the 20th century, there only were four perfect games. In the past four-and-a-half decades, there have been 11. Why the increase?
Here's a theory. In 1904, when Cy Young pitched his gem, the term "perfect game" didn't exist. Young wasn't aware until the last out that no one had reached first base. The New York Times ran a two-sentence story. Young was making $4,500 a year, about three times a skilled laborer's salary.
By the time Bunning pitched his perfect game 40 years later, baseball was becoming a media business. Television had come on to the scene, prompting the Dodgers and Giants to move to the West Coast. Baseball underwent its first expansion, adding four teams to the original 16. After Bunning closed out his 6-0 win against the hapless Mets, he got $1,000 to appear on "The Ed Sullivan Show."
TV money not only inspired franchise movement and expansion, it also energized players to form a union to get a piece of the action through free agency, which was introduced in 1975. That year, the average salary was $44,000; today it is over $2.5 million. This year, Randy Johnson will make $16 million.
What does money have to do with perfection? With free agency, players are aware that their best efforts will be fairly rewarded. They work harder — and they have the financial incentive to do so. They also know that extraordinary accomplishments are wildly celebrated. Cooperstown calls for a piece of the gear used in the game. If this does not inspire the kind of mental focus a player needs to go the distance, I don't know what would. To make things easier, franchise expansion has brought many lesser talents to the major league level. Now with 30 teams, baseball offers 350 more roster spots than it did in 1960. Indeed, 5 of the 11 perfect games since expansion have come against expansion teams.
Money is not the reason Randy Johnson was untouchable the other night. But it might be the reason the rarest of baseball feats for six decades has now occurred four times in the last 10 years.
Michael Coffey is the author of "27 Men Out: Baseball's Perfect Games."
==
裡頭還有一些關於美國職棒大聯盟的歷史，
包括賽揚等傳奇人物。
作者特別要指出的是錢的因素，
使得60年才出現四次的完全比賽，
最近10年就已經出現四次。
如同萬事達卡的廣告，
Big Unit不是為了錢投出完全比賽，
但是他領了比前輩多上許多的薪水，
使得他的專注力更可以集中在球場上。
這篇文章算是對職業運動的發展作一個總結吧。
標籤： MLB觀戰
繼續閱讀
5/19新莊球場觀戰記：中信對誠泰
許久未到球場看比賽，最近一次是去年暑假的世界青少年錦標賽，看職棒比賽則是距離遙遠。今天選這場比賽，個人主要觀戰重點在小島克萊伯這位投手。
今天去看球的人很少，誠泰加油區的人不算多，但是中信的啦啦隊只有誠泰的一半，雖然如此，中信啦啦隊的聲音沒有比誠泰小。誠泰主場還蠻有趣的，看得出球團經營的用心：球場飲食售價小貴，但是樣式很多；串場音樂相當多，也很勤快地放；第七局下半還模仿日本搞啦啦隊放氣球；每個攻守交換啦啦隊都有節目跟帶動唱；球場大螢幕只放主場球隊誠泰的球員照片，中信只有可憐的打擊順序。這些都顯示球團經營主場的措施相當健全。今天小島狀況平平，直球跟變化球速差不大，但是曲球的幅度相當漂亮；謝承勳狀況則是糟糕，控球進不了好球帶。不過觀戰的我對於變化球的掌握還是不好，垂直下墜系的球辨識率很低，小島的指叉球辨識率不到三成吧，出手跟球進壘的軌跡都跟直球相當類似；謝承勳的變速球倒是比較好辨認，但也不過五成而已，滑球則是完全無法辨識。
繼續閱讀
今天去看球的人很少，誠泰加油區的人不算多，但是中信的啦啦隊只有誠泰的一半，雖然如此，中信啦啦隊的聲音沒有比誠泰小。誠泰主場還蠻有趣的，看得出球團經營的用心：球場飲食售價小貴，但是樣式很多；串場音樂相當多，也很勤快地放；第七局下半還模仿日本搞啦啦隊放氣球；每個攻守交換啦啦隊都有節目跟帶動唱；球場大螢幕只放主場球隊誠泰的球員照片，中信只有可憐的打擊順序。這些都顯示球團經營主場的措施相當健全。今天小島狀況平平，直球跟變化球速差不大，但是曲球的幅度相當漂亮；謝承勳狀況則是糟糕，控球進不了好球帶。不過觀戰的我對於變化球的掌握還是不好，垂直下墜系的球辨識率很低，小島的指叉球辨識率不到三成吧，出手跟球進壘的軌跡都跟直球相當類似；謝承勳的變速球倒是比較好辨認，但也不過五成而已，滑球則是完全無法辨識。
今天整場比賽前半段很沈悶，只有誠泰在第一局有攻勢靠四壞球、失誤跟適時安打拿下兩分；雖然兩隊投手狀況不佳，但是打擊者狀況更差，屢屢三上三下而沒有攻勢。直到幸運的第七局兩隊互咬各攻下兩分。八局上半則是比賽的關鍵，沒有換下小島，讓疲累的他面對打者，守備又因為中信的戰術略顯混亂，一個人都沒有解決，留下一、三壘給救援投手。誠泰沒有在第八局果斷換上陳志誠，跟黃欽智最近的亂調有很大的關係，使原本擔任SETUPMAN的陳轉成救援；加上昨天陳已經投過，還有兩場且後續先發投手都較沒有完投能力的情形下，不能消耗過多的中繼投手，以致於造成八局上的被追平。另外昨天的慘劇今天再度重演，又是捕手的暴傳，看來除了交換球員，現在誠泰只能去求神摟～不過胖子附身的吳承翰漏球多丟一分，也是讓氣勢下降的原因之一吧。
久久沒看球就看到延長加賽，真不知道是賺到還是虧到，呼呼。
標籤： CPBL觀戰
繼續閱讀
